How To Find Investing Ideas And Stock Trends

Stock analysis comes in two basic varieties: buy-side and sell-side. As an individual, you really never see the buy-side, an aspect of trading that is typically reserved for the insitutional investors. However, you may be able to benefit if your mutual fund managers, pension fund managers or other professionals know how to make smarter investing decisions based on the information.

Sell-side analysis, or more freely available information, is designed more for individuals. It comes in two varieties: in-house and independent. In-house research is provided by brokerage firm analysts as a service to their clients, basically a way to stimulate activity and to encourage people to open and maintain accounts with them. Independent research comes from companies that are devoted entirely to creating, collating, and selling research such as Standard & Poor’s, Thomson Financial and Morningstar. There are, however, a few free providers of rich investing research such as Bullish Bankers and TheStreet.

When reading through investing ideas and stock research, never forget to focus on areas that you are knowledgable about already. Not all investors hunt long and hard to find good companies, and those that prefer to buy stocks of companies they know may perform better in the long term. One of the most perplexing decisions that you will face as an investor or trader is whether to buy stock in the company that you work for. Arguments in favor emphasize that you know a great deal about the company, from its strong points to its vulnerabilities and competitiors. Recognizing that your hard work will put you in a position to share in the companies successes may make the daily drive in to work all the more pleasurable. On the other hand, if you decide to focus your investments too heavily in any one company is making yourself more vulnerable to losses than if you diversified across market capitalization, sector and style. This is exactly what happened to the employees at Enron, and could happen to anyone.

In the aftermath of the stock market bubble, regulators investigated research analysts at major firms with investment banking arms. The resolution called for a $875 million global settlement that would require the firms to provide independent as well as in-house research through 2009. In addition, these firms must ensure that their analysts and bankers operate totally independently, so a manager's suggestion to buy won’t be tainted by personal interest.

The bottom line in an analyst’s report, either literally or figuratively, is whether or not you should buy the stock if you don’t own it (or buy more shares if you do), sell the stock if you own it, or hold the stock if you own it. When that recommendation is stated in the clearest possible terms, you are advised to buy sell or hold. If the analyst is very enthusiastic, a “strong buy” may be issued. There may also be a “strong sell” at the other end of the spectrum… despite the fact that such extreme ratings as strong sells are pretty rare.

One major issue is that buy recommendations frequently outnumber sell recommendations, even in periods of market weakness when this should actually be the opposite. That’s something to bear in mind if you are trying to evaluate the supporting details of an analyst’s report in relation to its conclusion. Of course, there are plenty of ways to get all of the research and firm ratings on stocks that you want, but always remember just how analysts are going about preparing research, with some hidden intentions occasionally present in the investing ideas that go reported.

One of the most complicating factors is that not all of the research reports use the same language for the actions that they recommend. It’s easy enough to understand that “accumulate” would mean buy, but does “underweight” mean hold or does it mean sell? Research firms that provide consensus information or a synthesis of what sell-side analysts are saying, attempt to handle these differences by grouping together all the ways to say buy or sell under one term. Even then, a recommendation of buy/hold can leave you uncertain about what analysts really think.